L62 - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and EquipmentReturn

The scrappage scheme became one of the most discussed instruments within the aggregate demand stimulation during the world economic crisis 2008-2009. The aim of this paper is to suggest an equation using the available data to estimate the efficiency of the scrappage premium. The initial part of the paper introduces the history of the scrappage premium (since 1970s) and also important papers dealing with the previous schemes. The survey of significant texts focusing on the demand modelling is a base for our suggestion of the automobile demand equation. The suggested equation contents four independent variables: disposable income, car price index, price index of the basic complement (which means fuel) and a dummy variable recording a (non)implementation of the scrappage scheme.

The article deals with CKD (Completely-Knocked-Down) operations, which represent supply of completely-knocked-down parts and components in the logistic chain. SKD (Semi-Knocked-Down) operations are lower level of CKD, the parts and components are semi-knocked-down. Both concepts are typical for automotive industry. The CKD centre provides a preparation, packaging and shipping parts in the standard containers. All types of a combined container transport can be used for shipment of CKD parts. The technological process for car assembly is similar like the production in a parent plant. CBU (Completely-Build-Up) is reverse of CKD operations. Like CBU are delivered completely-build-up units, the finished cars.