Acta academica karviniensia 2018, 18(1):25-35 | DOI: 10.25142/aak.2018.003

Mohou finanční ukazatele ovlivnit akciové výnosy finančních společností v Rakousku?

Marie Ligocká
Silesian University, School of Business Administration, Univerzitní nám. 1934/3, 733 40 Karvina

The stock prices of companies are influenced by many variables; two basic categories are macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. The objective of this paper is to analyze the existence of a relationship between select microeconomic variables and the stock returns of financial sector companies listed on the Vienna Stock Exchange. The institutions that were chosen are Immofinanz AG, Raiffeisen Bank International AG, Erste Group Bank AG, Uniqa Insurance Group AG and Vienna Insurance Group AG. The focus is on Austria due to the lack of empirical literature on problematics of linkages between stock prices and microeconomic factors. A possibility of the existence of the cointegration relationships can be a useful for share traders and investors who want to make higher profits. A time series with semi-annual frequency are used to examine the occurrence of long-term and short-term cointegration links using the Johansen and the Granger tests. Further the analysis of the Generalized method of moments. The empirical estimates are calculated for the 2005 - 2015 period, which includes the global financial crisis. According to the theory it is expected positive relationship between selected microeconomic variables and the stock returns.

Klíčová slova: cointegration, financial ratios, financial sector, GMM, stock return, Vienna Stock Exchange
JEL classification: C58, G21, O52

Vloženo: 29. září 2017; Revidováno: 8. únor 2018; Přijato: 14. březen 2018; Zveřejněno: 30. březen 2018  Zobrazit citaci

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Ligocká M. Mohou finanční ukazatele ovlivnit akciové výnosy finančních společností v Rakousku? Acta academica karviniensia. 2018;18(1):25-35. doi: 10.25142/aak.2018.003.
Stáhnout citaci

Reference

  1. AFZAL, A. and N. MIRZA, 2011. Size and value premium in international portfolios: Evidence from 15 European countries. Finance a Úvěr, vol. 61, issue 2, pp. 173 - 190.
  2. ASTERIOU, D. and P. DIMITROPOULOS, 2009. The Value Relevance of Financial Statements and Their Impact on Stock Prices, Evidence from Greece. Managerial Auditing Journal, vol. 24, issue 3, pp. 248 - 265. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  3. ATANASOV, V. and T. NITSCHKA, 2014. The Size Effect in Value and Momentum Factors: Implications for the Cross-section of International Stock Returns. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers No. 13-180/IV/DSF66. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  4. BERGLUND, E. and A. BERGMAN, 2013. Financial ratios ability to predict excess returns of Swedish listed firms. Degree project N. 3814407. [online]. [2017-04-05]. Available from: http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/3814407
  5. BESSLER, W., W. DROBETZ, T. ERDMANN and H. ZIMMERMANN, 2008. Predictability in the cross-section of European bank stock returns. WWZ Working Paper No. 21/07.
  6. CASTRÉN, O., T. FITZPATRICK and M. SYDOW, 2006. What Drives EU Banks' Stock Returns? Bank-Level Evidence using the Dynamic Dividend-Discount Model. European Central Bank Working Paper Series No. 677. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  7. DRUMMEN, M. and H. ZIMMERMANN, 1992. The structure of European stock returns. Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 48, issue 4, pp. 15-26. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  8. DZIKEVIČIUS, A. and S. ŠARANDA, 2011. Can financial ratios help to forecast stock prices? Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues, vol.1, issue 2, pp. 147 - 157. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  9. FAMA, E., 1970. Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, vol. 25, issue 2, pp. 383 - 417. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  10. GRANGER, C. W. J., 1969. Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, vol. 37, issue 3, pp. 424 - 438. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  11. HANSEN, L. P., 1982. Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators. Econometrica, vol. 50, issue 4, pp. 1029-1054. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  12. HÖGFELDT, P., G. KEPITIS and A. PAJUSTE, 2000. Risk Factors and Predictability of Stock Returns in Central and Eastern Europe. Emerging Markets Quarterly, pp. 1 - 18.
  13. JOHANSEN, S. and K. JUSELIUS, 1990. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration-with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, vol. 52, issue 2, pp. 169-210. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  14. MCKNIGHT, P. J. and S. K. TODD, 2006. Analyst forecasts and the cross section of European stock returns. Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, vol. 15, issue 5, pp. 201-224. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  15. MURADOGLU, Y. G. and S. SIVAPRASAD, 2009. Leverage, stock returns, taxes and industry concentration. Electronic Journal. [online]. [2017-04-01]. Available from: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1031987