Acta academica karviniensia 2016, 16(1):17-29 | DOI: 10.25142/aak.2016.002

THE EFFECTS OF FISCAL CONSOLIDATION ON NATIONAL ECONOMY: THE DEBATE OVER REDUCTION OF BUDGET DEFICIT AND DEBT

Pavel Breinek
Mendelova univerzita v Brně, Provozně ekonomická fakulta, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Email:breinek@node.mendelu.cz

The reduction of public debt has become important task for many national governments. Sustainability of public finance is frequently conditioned by cutting budget deficits, i.e. raising tax burden and/or reducing government expenditure. Countries have to implement large fiscal consolidation to avoid fiscal crises and encourage future growth. However, the fiscal tightening can suppress the growth of actual product and delay the improvement of fiscal indicators. The goal of this article is to present the possible effects of fiscal consolidation on national economy. On the basis of literature review we will try to summarize current discussion and highlight the main problems of design and implementation fiscal consolidation. The successful reform of public finance should be expenditure based and changes of government spending and taxes should be permanent. The economic boom is probably better period for fiscal consolidation then recession. And timing of received fiscal measures seems to be also important. The responses of central bank and possibility of currency depreciation can also play crucial roles. Finally, the successful fiscal consolidation can depend on institutional arrangement of economy or structural policy and income policy.

Keywords: budget deficit, economic growth, fiscal consolidation, fiscal policy, government debt, government spending, taxes
JEL classification: E62, H60, H62

Received: January 13, 2016; Accepted: May 26, 2016; Published: March 30, 2016  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Breinek P. THE EFFECTS OF FISCAL CONSOLIDATION ON NATIONAL ECONOMY: THE DEBATE OVER REDUCTION OF BUDGET DEFICIT AND DEBT. Acta academica karviniensia. 2016;16(1):17-29. doi: 10.25142/aak.2016.002.
Download citation

References

  1. AFONSO, A. a R. M. SOUSA, 2009. The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy. ECB Working Paper Series, 2009(991), 1-53. ISSN 1725-2806.
  2. ALESINA, A. F. a S. ARDAGNA, 2009. Large Changes in Fiscal Policy: Taxes Versus Spending [online]. NBER Working Paper No. 15438 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.nber.org/papers/w15438.pdf Go to original source...
  3. ALESINA, A., C. FAVERO a F. GIAVAZZI, 2014. The output effect of fiscal consolidation plans [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: scholar.harvard.edu/files/alesina/files/output_effect_fiscal_consolidations_oct_2014.pdf
  4. AUERBACH, A. J., 2002. Is There a Role for Discretionary Fiscal Policy [online]. NBER Working Paper No. 9306 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.nber.org/papers/w9306.pdf Go to original source...
  5. AUERBACH, A. J. a W. G. GALE, 2009. Activist Fiscal Policy to Stabilize Economic activity [online]. NBER Working Paper No. 15407 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.nber.org/papers/w15407 Go to original source...
  6. BAUM, A., M. POPLAWSKI-RIBERO a A. WEBER, 2012. Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy [online]. IMF Working Paper No. WP/12/286 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp12286.pdf
  7. BEETSMA, R., J. CIMADOMO, O. FURTUNA a M. GIULIODORI, 2015. The confidence effects of fiscal consolidations. ECB Working Paper Series, 2015(1770), 1-56. ISSN 1725-2806. Go to original source...
  8. BLANCHARD, O. a D. LEIGH, 2013. Growth Forecasts Errors and Fiscal Multipliers [online]. IMF Working Paper No. WP/13/1 [online]. [vid. 15. 2. 2016]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1301.pdf
  9. CARLIN, W. a D. SOSKICE, 2006. Macroeconomics: Imperfections, Institutions & Policies. 1. vyd. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-877622-2.
  10. COGAN, J. F., J. B. TAYLOR, V. WIELAND a M. WOLTERS, 2012. Fiscal Consolidation Strategy [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: web.stanford.edu/~johntayl/CoganTaylorWielandWolters_120614.pdf
  11. COTTARELLI, C. a L. JARAMILLO, 2012. Walking Hand in Hand: Fiscal Policy and Growth in Advanced Economies [online]. IMF Working Paper No. WP/12/137 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp12137.pdf
  12. COTTARELLI, C. a R. MOGHADAM, 2011. Modernizing the Framework for Fiscal Policy and Public Debt Sustainability Analysis [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2011/080511.pdf Go to original source...
  13. DeLONG, J. B. a L. H. SUMMERS, 2012. Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: larrysummers.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012_spring_BPEA_delongsummers.pdf
  14. DeLONG, J. B. a L. D. TYSON, 2013. Discretionary Fiscal Policy as a Stabilization Policy Tool: What Do We Think Now That We Did Not Think in 2007? [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2013/fiscal/pdf/tyson.pdf
  15. EYRAUD, L. a A. WEBER, 2013. The Challenge of Debt Reduction during Fiscal Consolidation [online]. IMF Working Paper No. WP/13/67 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1367.pdf
  16. FATÁS, A. a L. H. SUMMERS, 2015. The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidation. Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper, 2015(10902), 1-34. ISSN 0265-8003.
  17. FIGARI, F., A. PAULUS a H. SUTHERLAND, 2015. The design of fiscal consolidation measures in the European Union: Distributional effects and implications for macroeconomic recovery [online]. EUROMOD Working Paper Series No. 5/15 [vid. 15. 2. 2016]. Dostupné z: www.iser.essex.ac.uk/research/publications/working-papers/euromod/em5-15.pdf
  18. FLETCHER, K. a D. SANDRI, 2015. How Delaying Fiscal Consolidation Affects the Present Value of GDP [online]. IMF Working Paper No. WP/15/52 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp1552.pdf
  19. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, 2010. World Economic Outlook: Recovery, Risk and Rebalancing. Washington: International Monetary Fund. ISBN 978-1-58906-947-3. Go to original source...
  20. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, 2013. Reassessing the Role and Modalities of Fiscal Policy in Advanced Economies [online]. IMF Policy Paper [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2013/072113.pdf Go to original source...
  21. JORDÀ, Ò. a A. M. TAYLOR, 2013. The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effects of Fiscal Policy [online]. NBER Working Paper No. 19414 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.nber.org/papers/w19414.pdf Go to original source...
  22. KATARYNIUK, I. a J. VALLÉS, 2015. Fiscal Consolidation After The Great Recession: The Role of Composition. Banco de España Documentos de Trabajo, 2015(1515), 1-30. ISSN 1579-8666. Go to original source...
  23. MISHKIN, F. S., 2012. Macroeconomics: Policy and Practice. 1. vyd. Boston (MA): Pearson Education. ISBN 978-0-321-43633-7.
  24. MOLNÁR, M., 2012. Fiscal consolidation: What factors determine the success of consolidation efforts? OECD Journal: Economic Studies, 2012(1), 1-29. ISSN 1815-1973. Go to original source...
  25. OECD, 2012. What are the Best Policy Instruments for Fiscal Consolidation? [online]. OECD Economics Department Policy Note No. 12 [vid. 15. 2. 2016]. Dostupné z: www.oecd.org/eco/public-finance/50100775.pdf
  26. OSTRY, J. D., A. GHOSH a R. ESPINOZA, 2015. When Should Public Debt Be Reduced? [online]. IMF Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/15/10 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2015/sdn1510.pdf
  27. PEROTTI, R., 2011. The "Austerity Myth": Gain Without Pain? [online]. NBER Working Paper No. 17571 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.nber.org/papers/w17571.pdf Go to original source...
  28. REINHARTOVÁ, C. M. a K. S. ROGOFF, 2013. Tentokrát je to jinak: Osm století finanční pošetilosti. 1. vyd. Praha: Dokořán. ISBN 978-80-7363-537-4.
  29. ROMER, CH. D., 2012. Fiscal Policy in the Crisis: Lessons and Policy Implications. [online]. [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: eml.berkeley.edu/~cromer/Lessons%20for%20Fiscal%20Policy.pdf
  30. SPILIMBERGO, A., S. SYMANSKY, O. BLANCHARD a C. COTTARELLI, 2008. Fiscal Policy for the Crisis [online]. IMF Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/08/01 [vid. 15. 12. 2015]. Dostupné z: www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/spn/2008/spn0801.pdf